The pressroom ISD investigation: Russia-aligned campaigns amplify negative sentiment towards Ukrainians in Poland ahead of a decisive presidential vote

ISD investigation: Russia-aligned campaigns amplify negative sentiment towards Ukrainians in Poland ahead of a decisive presidential vote

Diplomacy / InternationalEuropeMediaPrint and digital press
ISD / AFP / CASM research project

ISD / AFP / CASM research project

London, May 30, 2025: An investigation released by the Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD), an independant research organisation dedicated to safeguarding democracy and human rights, shows that Russia-aligned actors are inflaming and exploiting anti-Ukrainian refugee sentiment in Poland ahead of the second round of presidential elections on 1 June. This ISD Investigation reveals a cross-platform effort involving elements of Russia-aligned information operations such as Operation Overload and Pravda/Portal Kombat. These operations use a variety of deceptive tactics to disseminate pro-Kremlin messaging, including impersonation, AI-generated content (AIGC) and coordinated amplification.  

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Key findings 

  • Throughout the election campaign period, Russian and pro-Russian actors have inflamed negative sentiment towards Ukrainians in Poland (the largest migrant group in the country).  
  • Russia-aligned campaign Operation Overload (also known as Matryoshka) spread false content on X (formerly Twitter) and Bluesky accusing Ukrainian refugees of preparing terrorist attacks targeting the elections in Poland, with posts receiving more than 654,100 views and 5,725 likes and shares on X. 
  • A parallel Operation Overload effort falsely claimed Ukrainians were plotting attacks on leading politicians in neighbouring countries. This content garnered 533,000 views and 4,530 likes and shares on X, with the engagement again coming from an amplifier network. 
  • ISD found that ChatGPT reproduces misleading claims from a Russian network of websites known as ‘Pravda’ or ‘Portal Kombat, for example allegations that Ukrainians are responsible for rising violent crime rates in Poland. 
  • A satirical video was picked up and spun by a pro-Kremlin influencer to promote the claim that Ukrainians are taking advantage of the Polish welfare system. This was spread through a coordinated network of Facebook pages and groups, and accounts on Telegram and X. These accounts called for the deportation of Ukrainian refugees, sparking a wave of online hate and threats. The influencer’s response received 161,500 views, 900 shares and 380 comments on Facebook alone, with many of the comments containing hateful and derogatory language. 
READ THE FULL INVESTIGATION HERE

This report has been released as part of the research project titled "Exploring the interplay between pro-Kremlin ecosystems and extremist movements in Europe", co-funded by the European Media and Information Fund (EMIF). 

The sole responsibility for any content supported by EMIF lies with the author(s) and it may not necessarily reflect the positions of the EMIF and the Fund Partners, the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation and the European University Institute.

ISD / AFP / CASM research project

ISD / AFP / CASM research project